Entrepreneurship

What is a Technical Analysis ?

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Management Dictionary
Corporate and Market Finance

8 écoutes

What is a Technical Analysis ?

Technical analysis involves studying historical price movements and trading volumes to predict future trends in financial assets. It relies on charts and technical indicators and does not consider the intrinsic value of a company.

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Auteur.e(s)

SALLOUM Charbel
Professeur associé
EM Normandie

Institution(s)

Médias de la même institution

Human artificial intelligence at the service of hyperperformance

Artificial intelligence is already transforming lives and organizations. It brings a huge potential, for example, to achieve hyper-performance. Which is not about adding more trainings. But rather finding and removing obstacles from human minds. And artificial intelligence can facilitate that efficiently. It can help us to learn more about our own intelligence. Thus, giving us a unique chance to finally re-unite both intelligences.

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Research
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What is Hyper-Performance?

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Management Dictionary
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Research
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Interview
Innovation Management

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What is the Initial Coin Offering?

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Management Dictionary
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Environmental Tax Policies in Emerging Markets: Does Confidence in Political Institutions Matter?

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In Machine Learning We Trust: A Bankruptcy Prediction Application

Recently, ensemble-based machine learning models have been widely adopted and have demonstrated their effectiveness in bankruptcy prediction. However, these algorithms often function as black boxes, making it difficult to understand how they generate forecasts. This lack of transparency has led to growing interest in interpretability methods within artificial intelligence research. In this paper, we assess the predictive performance of Random Forest, LightGBM, XGBoost, and NGBoost (Natural Gradient Boosting for probabilistic prediction) on French firms across various industries, with a forecasting horizon of one to five years. We then apply Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), a model-agnostic interpretability technique, to explain XGBoost, one of the best-performing models in our study. SHAP highlights the contribution of each feature to the model’s predictions, enabling a clearer understanding of how financial and macroeconomic factors influence bankruptcy risk. Moreover, it allows for the explanation of individual predictions, making black-box models more applicable in credit risk management.

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Research
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Corporate and Market Finance